SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
68.06% ( -0.18) | 17.5% ( 0.32) | 14.44% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( -1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.74% ( -2.01) | 32.26% ( 2.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.13% ( -2.37) | 53.86% ( 2.37) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% ( -0.56) | 8.68% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.1% ( -1.38) | 29.9% ( 1.38) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( -1.52) | 35.11% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( -1.63) | 71.86% ( 1.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.6)3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.14)6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.39% Total : 68.06% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 14.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
