SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Newcastle United |
55.69% ( -0) | 20.7% ( 0.12) | 23.6% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 65.05% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.43% ( -0.76) | 32.57% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.77% ( -0.88) | 54.23% ( 0.89) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( -0.24) | 11.82% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.94% ( -0.53) | 37.06% ( 0.53) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( -0.51) | 26.23% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( -0.69) | 61.33% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 55.69% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.6% |
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