SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
47.16% ( -0.07) | 22.4% ( -0.13) | 30.44% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 65.18% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.91% ( 0.78) | 35.09% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.91% ( 0.87) | 57.09% ( -0.87) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( 0.27) | 15.38% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.82% ( 0.5) | 44.18% ( -0.5) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0.51) | 22.98% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0.74) | 56.77% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.13% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.44% |
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