SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Bala Town |
33.36% ( -0.06) | 24.69% ( -0) | 41.95% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.01) | 44.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( -0.01) | 67.15% ( 0.01) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( -0.04) | 25.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( -0.06) | 60.93% ( 0.06) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 0.02) | 21.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( 0.03) | 54.39% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.36% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.95% |
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