SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
47.22% ( -0.47) | 23.9% ( 0.02) | 28.87% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( 0.21) | 43.18% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.41% ( 0.21) | 65.58% ( -0.22) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( -0.1) | 18.46% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.35% ( -0.17) | 49.64% ( 0.17) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( 0.42) | 28.03% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( 0.53) | 63.68% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.87% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
