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Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
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Crusaders
3 - 1
Magpies

Heatley (33'), Winchester (80'), Joe Burns (90+3')
Forsythe (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Casciaro (37')
Bent (34'), Zuniga (48'), Diaz (68'), Gonzalez (90')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Crusaders and Magpies.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Magpies 2-1 Crusaders
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Magpies 2-1 Crusaders
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Magpies win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawMagpies
41.97% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.45%33.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.13% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)43.63% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39% (0.014000000000003 0.01)53.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Magpies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)25.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 41.97%
    Magpies 33.58%
    Draw 24.44%
CrusadersDrawMagpies
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Magpies 2-1 Crusaders
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-3 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 23 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Linfield
Tuesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 1-4 Crusaders
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Magpies 2-1 Crusaders
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League


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