Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Seaview
FT(HT: 1-1)
Casciaro (37')
Bent (34'), Zuniga (48'), Diaz (68'), Gonzalez (90')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Crusaders and Magpies.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Magpies win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result |
| Crusaders | Draw | Magpies |
41.97% ( -0) | 24.45% | 33.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.02) |
| 56.37% ( 0.02) | 43.63% ( -0.02) |
| 33.98% ( 0.02) | 66.02% ( -0.02) |
| 79.1% ( 0.01) | 20.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0.01) | 53.61% ( -0.01) |
| 74.75% ( 0.01) | 25.25% ( -0.01) |
