Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.