Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
