Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Bent (44'), Pereira (49')
Coombes (30'),
Coombes (45'),
Casciaro (66'), Galan (81'), Morgan (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forsythe (63')
Joe Burns (36'), O'Rourke (45'),
Clarke (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Magpies win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Magpies | Draw | Crusaders |
29.48% ( 0.08) | 23.88% ( 0.05) | 46.64% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.18% ( -0.11) |
| 57.29% ( -0.17) | 42.71% ( 0.17) |
| 34.88% ( -0.17) | 65.11% ( 0.17) |
| 72.63% ( -0.03) | 27.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.16% ( -0.04) | 62.84% ( 0.04) |
| 81.49% ( -0.11) | 18.51% ( 0.12) |
