SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Finn Harps |
62.52% ( -1.08) | 21.91% ( 0.35) | 15.57% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 46.73% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% ( -0.06) | 50.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( -0.06) | 72.03% ( 0.06) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( -0.37) | 15.45% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.69% ( -0.7) | 44.3% ( 0.7) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0.98) | 44.73% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.28% ( 0.78) | 80.72% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.28)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.08% Total : 62.51% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.91% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.43% Total : 15.57% |
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