League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22

Jul 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Dalymount Park

Bohemians
2 - 3
Derry

Coote (58'), Devoy (85')
Murphy (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thomson (41'), Smith (60'), Devoy (75' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Bohemians and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bohemians 1-2 Derry City

Bohemians have failed to establish any real consistency so far this season, while their visitors will be desperate for another victory in their fight at the top end of the division, and, on the back of a return to winning ways last time out, we see Derry prevailing narrowly on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Bohemians	Draw	Derry City
34.79% ( -0.23)	28.73% ( -0.65)	36.48% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 45.62% (

1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.09% (

2.18)

60.91% (

-2.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.08% (

1.61)

80.92% (

-1.61)

Bohemians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

0.99)

33% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41% (

1.08)

69.59% (

-1.08)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

1.7)

31.91% (

-1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64% (

1.9)

68.35% (

-1.9)

Score Analysis

Bohemians 34.79%

Derry City 36.47%

Draw 28.72%

Bohemians	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.79%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.9) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.47%