SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
40.34% ( 0.63) | 26.19% ( 0.07) | 33.47% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( -0.44) | 51.33% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( -0.39) | 73.16% ( 0.39) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.13) | 25.06% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( 0.18) | 59.74% ( -0.18) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( -0.66) | 29.04% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( -0.82) | 64.94% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.34% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.47% |
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