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Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Estadio da Capital do Movel
VD

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Fonte (44')
Paulo (33'), Damasceno dos Santos (80'), Nunes Carvalho Junior (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gaspar (3'), Samu (51')
Oliveira (33'), Damasceno dos Santos (53'), Handel (54')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Os Limianos
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
23.18% (1.454 1.45) 24.16% (0.428 0.43) 52.66% (-1.873 -1.87)
Both teams to score 52.48% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (-0.227 -0.23)48.89% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.206 -0.21)70.99% (0.215 0.22)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (1.247 1.25)35.59% (-1.236 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (1.264 1.26)72.36% (-1.255 -1.26)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (-0.788 -0.79)18.52% (0.797 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-1.352 -1.35)49.76% (1.362 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 23.18%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.66%
    Draw 24.15%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.289 0.29)
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.297 0.3)
2-0 @ 3.52% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.04% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.18%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.37% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 5.27% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 52.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Os Limianos
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Wednesday, July 31 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Vizela 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 4-4 Felgueiras 1932
Wednesday, July 24 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 4-3 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sporting Braga II 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, July 13 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-1 Celje
Wednesday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Porto
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, September 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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