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Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports

Differdange
1 - 0
Ordabasy

Jorginho (37')
Rocha Santos Silva (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Makarenko (14'), Erlanov (68'), Maliy (70'), Tungyshbayev (82'), Suyumbayev (82')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FC Differdange 03 and Ordabasy.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Differdange 0-0 KI
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Petrocub 1-0 Ordabasy
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Differdange 03 win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Ordabasy had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Differdange 03 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Ordabasy win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Differdange 03 in this match.

Result
FC Differdange 03DrawOrdabasy
39.95% (0.117 0.12) 28.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.7% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.01% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)59.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)80.23% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
FC Differdange 03 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.058000000000007 0.06)29.34% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.070999999999998 0.07)65.32% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Ordabasy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)34.67% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (-0.096 -0.1)71.39% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    FC Differdange 03 39.95%
    Ordabasy 31.69%
    Draw 28.34%
FC Differdange 03DrawOrdabasy
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 39.95%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 31.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Differdange 0-0 KI
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: KI 2-0 Differdange
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Maribor 4-3 Differdange
Thursday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Differdange 1-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Differdange 1-2 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ljubljana 1-1 Differdange
Thursday, July 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Petrocub 1-0 Ordabasy
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ordabasy 0-0 Petrocub
Wednesday, July 10 at 4pm in Champions League
Last Game: Legia 3-2 Ordabasy
Thursday, August 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ordabasy 2-2 Legia
Thursday, July 27 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ordabasy 1-2 Botosani
Thursday, August 27 at 3pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ordabasy 2-3 Mlada Boleslav
Thursday, August 1 at 3pm in Europa League Qualifying


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