SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FK Zalgiris in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
33.72% ( -0) | 24.7% ( -0) | 41.57% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( 0.02) | 44.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( 0.02) | 67.11% ( -0.02) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.01) | 25.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( 0.01) | 60.61% ( -0.01) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.01) | 21.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( 0.01) | 54.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.72% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.57% |
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