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Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Hietalahti

VPS
vs.
Zalgiris

 
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Vaasan Palloseura and FK Zalgiris.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Turku 3-1 VPS
Friday, June 28 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Next Game: VPS vs. EIF
Saturday, July 6 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1HJK Helsinki281.87Plange
2Ilves271.93Haarala
3KuPS241.71Pennanen
4SJK241.71Moreno
5VPS231.64Borchers
6Haka191.46Patoulidis
7Oulu191.46Coffey
8Gnistan181.29Latonen
9Inter Turku181.29Botue
10Mariehamn161.23Larsson
11EIF131.00Kaufmann
12Lahti131.00Ivanovic

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura has a probability of 33.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win is 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawFK Zalgiris
33.72% (1.729 1.73) 24.71% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 41.56% (-1.672 -1.67)
Both teams to score 58.24% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.814 0.81)44.81% (-0.82 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.78 0.78)67.17% (-0.785 -0.78)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (1.454 1.45)25.73% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (1.934 1.93)60.66% (-1.939 -1.94)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)21.58% (0.427 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.663 -0.66)54.68% (0.65799999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Vaasan Palloseura 33.72%
    FK Zalgiris 41.56%
    Draw 24.71%
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawFK Zalgiris
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.269 0.27)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.261 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.167 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.134 0.13)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.72%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.411 -0.41)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 41.56%

Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Turku 3-1 VPS
Friday, June 28 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 1-1 Oulu
Wednesday, June 19 at 7pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Mariehamn 0-0 VPS
Wednesday, June 12 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 1-1 Ilves
Friday, June 7 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: EIF 1-2 VPS
Sunday, June 2 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 3-1 Inter Turku
Monday, May 27 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalgiris 0-4 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 24 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hacken 5-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-3 Hacken
Thursday, August 10 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-2 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 25 at 5pm in Champions League


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