SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
59.86% ( -0.12) | 21.34% ( 0.08) | 18.79% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.3) | 42.23% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.3) | 64.63% ( 0.3) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% ( -0.13) | 13.72% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.03% ( -0.26) | 40.96% ( 0.26) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.13) | 36.15% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( -0.14) | 72.93% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.34% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.79% |
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