SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Floriana win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Tre Penne had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Floriana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Tre Penne win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Floriana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Floriana | Draw | Tre Penne |
43.41% ( -0.03) | 24.68% ( 0.01) | 31.9% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( -0.05) | 45.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( -0.05) | 67.57% ( 0.05) |
| Floriana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -0.04) | 20.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( -0.06) | 53.63% ( 0.05) |
| Tre Penne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.01) | 27.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.59% ( -0.02) | 62.4% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Floriana | Draw | Tre Penne |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.9% |
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