SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valmiera would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tre Penne | Draw | Valmiera |
16.01% ( 0.04) | 19.76% ( 0.02) | 64.22% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0) | 39.88% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.76% ( 0.01) | 62.24% ( -0) |
| Tre Penne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( 0.05) | 37.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.27% ( 0.05) | 74.73% ( -0.05) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( -0.01) | 11.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.11% ( -0.03) | 36.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tre Penne | Draw | Valmiera |
| 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.01% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.76% | 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.07% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 64.22% |
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