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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Floriana win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Tre Penne had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Floriana win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Tre Penne win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tre Penne | Draw | Floriana |
27.3% ( -0.1) | 23.63% ( 0.01) | 49.06% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( -0.11) | 43.02% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( -0.11) | 65.43% ( 0.11) |
| Tre Penne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -0.13) | 29.06% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% ( -0.16) | 64.97% ( 0.16) |
| Floriana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -0.01) | 17.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% ( -0.01) | 48.31% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tre Penne | Draw | Floriana |
| 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.3% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.06% |
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