SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Fiorentina |
45.68% ( -0.14) | 22.27% ( 0.04) | 32.05% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 66.62% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.43% ( -0.14) | 33.58% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.62% ( -0.16) | 55.39% ( 0.16) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.1) | 15.33% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.93% ( -0.19) | 44.08% ( 0.2) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( -0.01) | 21.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( -0.01) | 54.28% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 45.69% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 32.05% |
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