SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
57.37% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0.02) | 20.35% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% ( -0.08) | 44.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.43% ( -0.08) | 66.57% ( 0.08) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( -0.04) | 15.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.24% ( -0.08) | 43.76% ( 0.07) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( -0.03) | 35.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( -0.03) | 72.44% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.35% |
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