SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Rangers |
31.9% ( 0.03) | 25.2% ( 0) | 42.9% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( 0.01) | 47.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( 0.01) | 69.73% ( -0.01) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.02) | 28.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( 0.03) | 63.86% ( -0.03) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -0.01) | 22.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% ( -0.02) | 55.48% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 5% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.9% |
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