With Fiorentina missing so many key defenders, we can envisage plenty of goals in Florence on Sunday.
The visitors have been in poor form of late but they may relish facing an out of sorts back line, so we can see a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
0.86) 
-0.38) 
