SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Decic had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Decic win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Decic |
64.89% ( 0.09) | 20.76% ( -0.01) | 14.34% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( -0.12) | 47.68% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -0.11) | 69.87% ( 0.11) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% ( -0.01) | 13.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.61% ( -0.02) | 41.38% ( 0.02) |
| Decic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.97% ( -0.19) | 45.02% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.05% ( -0.15) | 80.95% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Decic |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 64.89% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.76% | 0-1 @ 5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.34% |
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