Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
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