SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for La Fiorita had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a La Fiorita win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | La Fiorita |
62.6% ( 0.09) | 20.57% ( -0.03) | 16.83% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% ( 0.03) | 42.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( 0.03) | 64.48% ( -0.03) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.14% ( 0.03) | 12.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.76% ( 0.07) | 39.23% ( -0.08) |
| La Fiorita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.7% ( -0.05) | 38.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.94% ( -0.05) | 75.05% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | La Fiorita |
| 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 62.59% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.83% |
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