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Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parken

Copenhagen
1 - 2
Jagiellonia

Hatzidiakos (12')
Lopez (26'), Cornelius (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pululu (51'), Churlinov (90+8')
Normann Hansen (40'), Nguiamba (53'), Sacek (66'), Silva (78'), Abramowicz (86')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Copenhagen and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vejle 1-2 Copenhagen
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
CopenhagenDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
73.63% (-0.22 -0.22) 15.52% (0.357 0.36) 10.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-2.084 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.1% (-2.289 -2.29)31.9% (2.295 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.55% (-2.728 -2.73)53.45% (2.734 2.73)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.58% (-0.568 -0.57)7.43% (0.574 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.27% (-1.509 -1.51)26.73% (1.516 1.52)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (-1.871 -1.87)40.27% (1.876 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (-1.749 -1.75)76.9% (1.754 1.75)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 73.62%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 10.85%
    Draw 15.52%
CopenhagenDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.649 0.65)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.147 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.76% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.97% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.723 0.72)
4-0 @ 5.7% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.18% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.245 -0.25)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.237 -0.24)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
6-1 @ 1.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 73.62%
1-1 @ 7.07% (0.322 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.36 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.52%
1-2 @ 3.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.72% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.24% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.85%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Vejle 1-2 Copenhagen
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 AaB
Monday, September 23 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-1 Copenhagen
Saturday, September 14 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 3-1 Brondby
Sunday, September 1 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Copenhagen
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-2 Copenhagen
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 0-2 Jagiellonia
Wednesday, September 25 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-2 Gdansk
Saturday, September 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-0 Jagiellonia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-0 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, September 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League


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