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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Petrocub Hincesti |
53.95% ( 0.04) | 22.98% ( 0) | 23.07% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.05% ( -0.06) | 43.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% ( -0.06) | 66.34% ( 0.06) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( -0.01) | 16.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.25% ( -0.02) | 45.75% ( 0.02) |
| Petrocub Hincesti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.07) | 32.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( -0.07) | 69.54% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Petrocub Hincesti |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.95% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.07% |
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