Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.
10.28) 
-1.81) 
