SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
39.26% ( 0.01) | 23.32% ( -0) | 37.42% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 64.09% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.53% ( 0) | 37.47% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.3% ( 0) | 59.69% ( -0) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0) | 19.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.6% ( 0.01) | 51.4% ( -0.01) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0) | 20.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% | 52.78% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.3% Total : 39.26% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 6.72% 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 37.42% |
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