SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
32.34% ( -0.17) | 24.3% ( 0.06) | 43.36% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -0.35) | 43.33% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.27% ( -0.34) | 65.73% ( 0.34) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( -0.27) | 25.85% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -0.37) | 60.82% ( 0.37) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( -0.09) | 20.14% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.58% ( -0.15) | 52.42% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.34% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 43.36% |
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