Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 43.08%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.22%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 1-0 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.