SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
26.44% ( -0.05) | 27.93% ( 0.01) | 45.63% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.47% ( -0.05) | 60.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.36% ( -0.04) | 80.63% ( 0.04) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.87% ( -0.07) | 39.13% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.16% ( -0.07) | 75.84% ( 0.07) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0) | 26.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.01) | 61.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 13.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.62% |
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