SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Bala Town |
40.5% ( 0.03) | 25.19% ( -0.03) | 34.31% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( 0.13) | 46.83% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( 0.12) | 69.09% ( -0.12) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0.07) | 22.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0.11) | 56.76% ( -0.11) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.06) | 26.34% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( 0.08) | 61.48% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.31% |
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