SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
41.01% ( 0.06) | 23.98% ( 0.01) | 35.01% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0.06) | 41.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% ( -0.06) | 63.45% ( 0.06) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( 0) | 20.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( 0.01) | 52.58% ( -0.01) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.07) | 23.23% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( -0.1) | 57.14% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.01% |
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