SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
45.2% ( -0.45) | 27.02% ( 0.09) | 27.79% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% ( -0.15) | 56.64% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% ( -0.12) | 77.61% ( 0.12) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.29) | 24.98% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( -0.4) | 59.62% ( 0.4) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( 0.21) | 35.86% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( 0.21) | 72.64% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.79% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
