Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Kairat had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Kairat win was 0-1 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
