SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Saburtalo Tbilisi | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
25.13% ( -0.88) | 23.9% ( -0.27) | 50.97% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54% ( 0.44) | 46% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.7% ( 0.42) | 68.3% ( -0.42) |
| Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( -0.48) | 32.32% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( -0.55) | 68.82% ( 0.55) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( 0.62) | 18.07% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( 1.05) | 49% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saburtalo Tbilisi | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.13% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.97% |
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