SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saburtalo Tbilisi | Draw | Partizani Tirana |
34.2% ( -0.05) | 26.75% ( -0.02) | 39.05% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( 0.09) | 53.51% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( 0.08) | 75.02% ( -0.08) |
| Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( 0.02) | 29.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( 0.02) | 65.69% ( -0.02) |
| Partizani Tirana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.08) | 26.76% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( 0.11) | 62.04% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saburtalo Tbilisi | Draw | Partizani Tirana |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.04% |
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