SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Saburtalo Tbilisi |
60.41% ( -0.16) | 20.76% ( 0.06) | 18.83% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.51% ( -0.15) | 39.49% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.17% ( -0.16) | 61.83% ( 0.16) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.31% ( -0.09) | 12.68% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.13% ( -0.19) | 38.87% ( 0.19) |
| Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% ( 0.01) | 34.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.79% ( 0.01) | 71.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Saburtalo Tbilisi |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 60.41% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 18.83% |
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