Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for SJK had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lillestrom in this match.
