SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 17 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ilves | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | SJK | 15 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | Inter Turku | 15 | 5 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for SJK had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | SJK |
48.09% ( 0.01) | 22.31% ( 0.02) | 29.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.95% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( -0.08) | 35.16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.09) | 57.17% ( 0.09) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.92% ( -0.02) | 15.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.39% ( -0.05) | 43.61% ( 0.06) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.05) | 23.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( -0.07) | 57.56% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | SJK |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.6% |
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