SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
46.41% ( 0.4) | 24.19% ( 0.07) | 29.41% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.84% ( -0.57) | 44.16% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( -0.56) | 66.54% ( 0.56) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( -0.06) | 19.18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( -0.1) | 50.84% ( 0.1) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.6) | 28.16% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% ( -0.77) | 63.84% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.41% |
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