SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.53%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 10.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-3 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 2-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Briton Ferry | Draw | The New Saints |
10.77% ( -0.3) | 14.7% ( -0.19) | 74.53% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.11) | 27.8% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.51% ( 0.13) | 48.49% ( -0.13) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.42) | 37.42% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.79% ( -0.41) | 74.21% ( 0.41) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.68% ( 0.11) | 6.32% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.23% ( 0.31) | 23.77% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Briton Ferry | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.69% Total : 10.77% | 1-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.7% | 0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 8.3% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 5.73% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 3.17% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.53% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)1-6 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 74.53% |
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