SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord |
38.3% ( -0.63) | 23.84% ( 0.09) | 37.86% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.94% ( -0.42) | 40.06% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0.43) | 62.42% ( 0.44) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.48) | 21.09% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( -0.76) | 53.91% ( 0.76) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( 0.08) | 21.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( 0.13) | 54.25% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.86% |
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