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Europa League | Round of 16
Mar 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
MU

AC Milan
0 - 1
Man Utd


Kalulu (65'), Dalot (77'), Kjaer (85'), Hernandez (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pogba (49')
Shaw (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester United in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawManchester United
20.67%25.91%53.42%
Both teams to score 44.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99%58.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.3%78.69%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.74%43.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49%79.51%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18%21.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97%55.03%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 20.67%
    Manchester United 53.4%
    Draw 25.91%
AC MilanDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-1 @ 5.04%
2-0 @ 3.31%
3-1 @ 1.41%
3-2 @ 1.07%
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.67%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 14.36%
0-2 @ 10.93%
1-2 @ 9.17%
0-3 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 4.65%
0-4 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 53.4%

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