Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 0-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.