Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
