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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
NL

AC Milan
0 - 1
Napoli


Hernandez (86')
Rebic (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
40.24%24.1%35.66%
Both teams to score 60.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49%41.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09%63.91%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55%53.45%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91%23.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07%56.93%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 40.24%
    Napoli 35.66%
    Draw 24.1%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-1 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.66%

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