SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Monaco | 6 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Troyes | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Lens | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
36.58% ( 0.08) | 23.87% ( 0.02) | 39.55% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.92% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.74% ( -0.1) | 40.26% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( -0.1) | 62.63% ( 0.1) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0) | 22.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( -0) | 55.36% ( -0) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( -0.09) | 20.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% ( -0.14) | 53.11% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.58% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.55% |
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